Much of the port-side of the Cheddarsphere was all atwitter over last week’s “DailyKos/Research 2000” poll. In it, it showed Doyle – in fact every Democrat – beating all comers except Tommy Thompson.
That’s fine dandy, of course, even Jay Bullock said to take that will a grain of salt. DKos/Research 2000 polls have a horrible track record and are known for over-sampling Democrats.
Today comes a PPP Poll, which appears to say the opposite.
Wisconsin Governor Jim Doyle is suffering from a poor approval rating and trails two possible 2010 opponents, the newest survey from Public Policy Polling finds.
60% of voters in the state say they disapprove of Doyle’s work in office, with just 34% approving. While Doyle continues to maintain a decent 61% approval from Democrats, just 6% of Republicans think he’s doing a good job. He also meets with disapproval from 69% of independent voters.
In possible 2010 contests, Milwaukee County Executive Scott Walker leads Doyle 48-40 and former Congressman Mark Neumann holds a 42-41 advantage. It’s safe to say the early lead for the Republicans has more to do with Doyle than it does with either of them
individually, as just 33% of voters in the state have a favorable opinion of Walker and 26% have one of Neumann.
Doyle’s unpopularity is pretty universal across the electorate, with every demographic group PPP tracks by ideology, gender, race, and age disapproving of his performance except for African Americans and liberals.
“If he had to stand before the voters today Jim Doyle would probably not get reelected,” said Dean Debnam, President of Public Policy Polling. “Of course he doesn’t have to do so for another 17 months and has plenty of time to rehabilitate his image. Nevertheless, it looks like Republicans have a good opportunity here.”
PPP will release numbers looking at Russ Feingold tomorrow.
I’m going to take a guess here and say Russ Feingold is doing just fine. Really, he is. I’m not being sarcastic or anything.
PPP is a Democratic Polling firm based out of North Carolina. They traditionally do their polls via touch-tone phone.
A further look at the internals highlight the partisan breakdown of the sample was Dem – 42%, GOP – 32%, and Ind – 26%
You can read the poll from PPP’s blog here.
Doyle’s suffering from what is being seen nationally; Governors of every political stripe are taking the brunt of the political outrage over the economy. Because of that, many are seeing their approval numbers tank as a ‘get the bums out’ mentality is hitting the various governor’s races. Doyle is no different against that trend.
Interesting thing about the cross-tabs on Doyle’s unpopularity, he’s got over 50% unapproval rating (sometimes over 60%) in every age group polled. The 18-29 year old are his best group (54%), conversely, they’re also his best group for re-election (ironically 54%).
I have a hard time believing at this stage of the game, the Walker and Neumann favorability numbers aren’t based on anything more than simply a lot of Wisconsinites not knowing them.
But I do agree with one thing, Doyle’s best assest at this stage is Time. He’s got 16 months to turn things, he’s got a machine which could slime an Eagle Scout (ironically Walker is one), and who knows, the economy might actually improve.
[I’m not so sure about the last one right now.]