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PPP Polling: Feingold Would Beat Thompson

I have some issues with the polling — mainly that it took place over a weekend, which is never a good time to get a solid poll sample — but expect this to be the headline all over Wisconsin political websites as Public Policy Polling (PPP) out of North Carolina says that as of this past weekend, Russ Feingold leads former Governor Tommy Thompson in a theoretical Senate match-up.

Democrats are having to work harder than expected to defend a lot of their Senate seats in 2010, but it doesn’t look like Wisconsin will be one of them.

Russ Feingold leads former Governor Tommy Thompson 50-41 in a possible match up.  He takes 88% of the Democratic vote to Thompson’s 82% of the Republican vote and also holds a 47-41 lead with independents.

Thompson no longer has the popularity that propelled him to four terms as Governor.  45% of voters in the state have an unfavorable opinion of him to just 38% who view him positively. Even 25% of Republicans view him negatively and he has little crossover support, with just 17% of Democrats saying they have a favorable opinion of him.

Feingold’s numbers are almost a mirror image with 45% of voters approving of his job performance to 37% who disapprove. Feingold also holds solid leads against a couple of minor Republican candidates- 47-32 over Dave Westlake and 48-34 over Terrence Wall.

Last month, a poll by the Wisconsin Policy Research Institute put this match-up as Thompson 43 – Feingold 39; I forget what the numbers in a Feingold-Westlake and Feingold-Wall match-up were.  The inconsistency of the polling only means more polling is probably coming down the road.

At this time, I have a hard time buying the numbers because 1) It’s a Democratic Polling firm, so you have to always put whoever is the partisan-leaning entity into account, and 2) weekend polling traditionally tends to lean-heavily to Democrats.  That’s not to say they aren’t correct, but it’s hard to believe that 25% of Wisconsin Republicans now disapprove of Tommy Thompson.  If anything, that’s likely them venting their frustration with the constant media self-aggrandizing Thompson seems to be doing with his Hamlet act of “Will I run for another office again?”

(For my money, it’s unlikely he’s running for anything.  Tommy just likes the attention.)

I’ve been going over the rest of the PPP results issued today, and while the Thompson news will make headlines; if I were a Democrat, I’d be worried, because these are not the results you want to be seeing twelve months out from the mid-term elections.  I’ll hope to have a post on that later on.

http://mashable.com/2009/11/24/muppets-bohemian-rhapsody/?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+Mashable+%28Mashable%29

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