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PPP Polling: Feingold Would Beat Thompson

I have some issues with the polling — mainly that it took place over a weekend, which is never a good time to get a solid poll sample — but expect this to be the headline all over Wisconsin political websites as Public Policy Polling (PPP) out of North Carolina says that as of this past weekend, Russ Feingold leads former Governor Tommy Thompson in a theoretical Senate match-up.

Democrats are having to work harder than expected to defend a lot of their Senate seats in 2010, but it doesn’t look like Wisconsin will be one of them.

Russ Feingold leads former Governor Tommy Thompson 50-41 in a possible match up.  He takes 88% of the Democratic vote to Thompson’s 82% of the Republican vote and also holds a 47-41 lead with independents.

Thompson no longer has the popularity that propelled him to four terms as Governor.  45% of voters in the state have an unfavorable opinion of him to just 38% who view him positively. Even 25% of Republicans view him negatively and he has little crossover support, with just 17% of Democrats saying they have a favorable opinion of him.

Feingold’s numbers are almost a mirror image with 45% of voters approving of his job performance to 37% who disapprove. Feingold also holds solid leads against a couple of minor Republican candidates- 47-32 over Dave Westlake and 48-34 over Terrence Wall.

Last month, a poll by the Wisconsin Policy Research Institute put this match-up as Thompson 43 – Feingold 39; I forget what the numbers in a Feingold-Westlake and Feingold-Wall match-up were.  The inconsistency of the polling only means more polling is probably coming down the road.

At this time, I have a hard time buying the numbers because 1) It’s a Democratic Polling firm, so you have to always put whoever is the partisan-leaning entity into account, and 2) weekend polling traditionally tends to lean-heavily to Democrats.  That’s not to say they aren’t correct, but it’s hard to believe that 25% of Wisconsin Republicans now disapprove of Tommy Thompson.  If anything, that’s likely them venting their frustration with the constant media self-aggrandizing Thompson seems to be doing with his Hamlet act of “Will I run for another office again?”

(For my money, it’s unlikely he’s running for anything.  Tommy just likes the attention.)

I’ve been going over the rest of the PPP results issued today, and while the Thompson news will make headlines; if I were a Democrat, I’d be worried, because these are not the results you want to be seeing twelve months out from the mid-term elections.  I’ll hope to have a post on that later on.

http://mashable.com/2009/11/24/muppets-bohemian-rhapsody/?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+Mashable+%28Mashable%29
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  • sk

    again kevin???

    Dems should be worried?

    from the same guy who said barret wouldn't run, that Reid didn't have the votes for cloture, that john gard would win….twice!!!

    Ever think this whole prediction thing isn't where your expertise lies?

  • kevinbinversie

    Fine Asshole, Feingold's gonna win. Happy now?

    Also, when did I ever say Gard was gonna win twice? Some sort of record backing that would be nice.

  • ska

    ummm Actually no.
    If you predict feingold a winner….them i'm worried about Russ!

    guess i'll send him another check. thanks to you!

  • kevinbinversie

    Isn't that a violation of campaign finance law, or just of Russ' massive ego?

  • kevinbinversie

    Also, could you please stick with one fake email address? Lord only knows
    who's getting these reply emails.

  • Recess Supervisor

    I agree that TGT just likes the attention. But I didn't give that 25% disapproval from Republicans a second thought, when you consider how trendy it is for the teabagging wing of the party to trash any Republican who ever dared to try and get anything done that wasn't saving a fetus or cutting taxes. I hear conservatives rag on TGT all the time for being a big spending RINO and talk about how they'd rather stay home than vote for him.

    The tent a lot of conservatives want to pitch wouldn't even be big enough to accommodate guys like Ronald Reagan. And if Reagan doesn't fit, how ever would TGT?

  • ska

    ummm Actually no.
    If you predict feingold a winner….them i'm worried about Russ!

    guess i'll send him another check. thanks to you!

  • kevinbinversie

    Isn't that a violation of campaign finance law, or just of Russ' massive ego?

  • kevinbinversie

    Also, could you please stick with one fake email address? Lord only knows
    who's getting these reply emails.

  • Recess Supervisor

    I agree that TGT just likes the attention. But I didn't give that 25% disapproval from Republicans a second thought, when you consider how trendy it is for the teabagging wing of the party to trash any Republican who ever dared to try and get anything done that wasn't saving a fetus or cutting taxes. I hear conservatives rag on TGT all the time for being a big spending RINO and talk about how they'd rather stay home than vote for him.

    The tent a lot of conservatives want to pitch wouldn't even be big enough to accommodate guys like Ronald Reagan. And if Reagan doesn't fit, how ever would TGT?