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The Winners and Losers of the Doyle Decision

Here’s my take on the Winners, Losers, and “the Push” of the Doyle announcement he’s not seeking re-election next year.

BIG WINNERS:

Political Junkies – Two primaries for a Wisconsin Gubernatorial race for the first time since 1982.  This is like the 2008 Presidential Race on a state-wide level.  There’s no “King of the Mountain” to knock off this time.  That’s rare in American politics, and I’ll have to consult my library of Wisconsin Blue Books to see how rare this is in Wisconsin politics.

We are about to get into a grand age to be a political observer, a talk radio host, or a blogger.  Enjoy this time.

Local TV / Radio Sales Departments – Anywhere from six to ten months of political ad revenue.  These boys will be one of the few having a good Christmas in 2010 the way the economy’s still “recovering.”

SLIGHT WINNERS:

Jim Doyle – Yes, he’s leaving office in January 2011, but he’s doing it on his terms (if you wish to call it that).  He went 5 for 5 in statewide elections (3 for Attorney General, 2 for Governor), something few have done, and something which may never be duplicated when it comes to two different statewide offices.

However, he’s beaten, bloodied, and most of the damage is self-inflicted.

Dan Kapanke – The lawsuit he’s facing from the Democratic Party of Wisconsin this week is total B.S., and a waste of everyone’s time; but he goes from facing a well-known and well-liked incumbent in Ron Kind to now having an Open Seat race if Kind does run for the Governor’s Mansion.  (Kind will by the way, if the rumors are indictation.)

He also goes from being an annoyance to being a threat which Madison and Washington Democrats will try to take out as soon as possible.

Scott Walker and Mark Neumann – They’ll still likely battle it out until next September themselves and the winner their will still have to win the big fight of the general election, but now the victor won’t have millions of dollars in a Doyle campaign fund waiting for the victor Wednesday morning after the Tuesday night primary victory.  The Democrats will be dirt poor too.

SLIGHT LOSERS:

The Democratic Coalition – Oh, at the end of the day they’ll be behind the eventual nominee, but after being behind Doyle for years they’ll separate to the four winds in a primary.  Breaking up is so hard to do.

BIG LOSERS:

Mike Tate – Doyle’s hand-picked State Party Chairman no doubt thought when at 30 he was handed the keys to the kingdom, he’d have his mentor and friend Jim Doyle there running as candidate at the end of the day.  That’s gone now, and with it comes an Open Seat governor’s mansion in a mid-term election of what’s looking to possibly be a bad year for Democrats.

Talk tough now big boy when the “No Comment” cat’s no longer got your tongue.

Those Who Though Doyle Was Running – Hey, I count myself in this one.  Just man up, admit you were wrong, and all will be forgiven.  There will be plenty of future political prognostications to screw up in the coming weeks and months.

For a warm-up, there’s the college and pro football season.

THE PUSH:

The Conventional Wisdom – The CW is always right when it is wrong, and always wrong when it is right.

The State’s Liberal Blog Community – Oh these vipers and pit bulls will attack whoever is the GOP nominee during the primary and what not at the end of the day, but now, it’s just going to be fun watching them play “Who’s More Liberal?” and “Really, Barbara Lawton’s Not A Crazy Ex-Museum Director.  Honest!”

“The Democratic Field” – Kind must decide if he’s going to run statewide in a year which could make 2006 look good for Congressmen running in statewide races.  Barrett’s assault could possibly complicate his run.  Barbara Lawton is well…Barbara Lawton.  They all have advantages, they all have their faults, and they all will now decide if they’re jumping in along with all the rumored folks out there.

Fun times ahead.

Reince Priebus and the Republican Party of Wisconsin – They’ve lost their “Boogie Man,” yet they’re fired up enough to not care.  That’s either the sign of a “Devil May Care, We’re Here to Fight!” attitude in the face of the state’s recent electoral history, or they’re winging it.

I’m hoping it’s the former.

The State’s Conservative Blog Community – We lose Doyle as a punching bag; yet the community seems more committed than ever behind the Scott Walker campaign.  There are some possible Pro-Neumann blogs out there, right?

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  • cecil

    really think tate was Doyle's choice?

    i heard that was a sign from him that he really didn't care?

  • Call me a Big Loser. When Doyle vetoed the Milwaukee RTA, I was sure he was running.

  • Pingback: No Runny Eggs » Blog Archive » Kevin Binversie picks me as a Big Loser in the Doyle self-dump()

  • pdigaudio

    Although I am a Walker supporter, I won't consider myself anti-Neumann, and certainly won't run anything disparaging about Neumann on my blog. As I said at DR, I've learned to realize who the common enemy is.

  • belleville

    Nicely condensed. We are all winners and losers now. Let us hope that the fun will begin when a half dozen Madison insiders decide its their turn to govern and the outsiders start tripping over themselves for our amusement. Unfortunately though, the state itself is facing economic structural changes that will take a decade to sort out. For this, we need a change agent with the ability to make difficult and unpopular decisions. I didnt see any of this type on your list, let alone the landscape.

  • belleville

    Nicely condensed. We are all winners and losers now. Let us hope that the fun will begin when a half dozen Madison insiders decide its their turn to govern and the outsiders start tripping over themselves for our amusement. Unfortunately though, the state itself is facing economic structural changes that will take a decade to sort out. For this, we need a change agent with the ability to make difficult and unpopular decisions. I didnt see any of this type on your list, let alone the landscape.