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Category “2012 WI-07 Race”

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DCCC Bailed on WI-07 WI-08?">Has the DCCC Bailed on WI-07 WI-08?

Need to con­firm this news, but Matt Mack­owiak is a con­nected GOP con­sul­tant in Texas and tends not to be wrong about these sorts of things.  He’s often quoted as a source by Politico.

If he’s right, then it pretty much says the DCCC has deter­mined that Pat Kreitlow’s on his own and will likely lose to fresh­man Cong. Sean Duffy. The amus­ing part for me about that news is that it’s shown that “capper’s” lit­tle push this past week­end on anti-Duffy posts appear to be a last minute oppo drop of a flail­ing cam­paign.  (Just a guess, but hey, who else would Zielin­ski send it to for eyeballs?)

But hey, Liebs got to post a decade-plus old naked pic­ture of Duffy which was explained as “youth­ful idiocy” years ago.  Must have been on our favorite AFSCME hack’s bucket list.

Bit of an insight into the other seats.  NC-08 is cur­rently held by a Demo­c­rat, but redis­trict­ing in North Car­olina has made it much more Repub­li­can.  The Cook Polit­i­cal Report ranks the seat for this Novem­ber as “Leans Republican.”

FL-18 is the seat held by for­mer Army Lt. Col. Allen West, he has been a tar­get for many uber-liberals who hate the very thought of a black con­ser­v­a­tive.  Cook has the race as “Repub­li­can Toss-up.”

UPDATE:  Roll Call con­firms two of the three Mack­owiak lists, FL-18 and NC-08.  Noth­ing yet how­ever on WI-07.

The Demo­c­ra­tic Con­gres­sional Cam­paign Com­mit­tee can­celed a week of air­time in Rep. Allen West’s (R-Fla.) dis­trict start­ing Oct. 9, accord­ing to mul­ti­ple sources track­ing the buy.

Democ­rats cite a sub­stan­tial House Major­ity PAC buy — $1 mil­lion over a few weeks includ­ing Oct. 9 — as the rea­son they pulled their reser­va­tion in the West Palm Beach mar­ket that week.

It’s almost never a good sign when a com­mit­tee cuts air­time for a can­di­date. The can­cel­la­tion comes on the heels of the DCCC’s move to can­cel a sec­ond week­long buy for Rep. Larry Kissell’s (D-N.C.) tough re-election bid.

But unlike Kissell’s bid, the Florida race remains com­pet­i­tive — at least com­pared with other Demo­c­ra­tic pickup oppor­tu­ni­ties (Roll Call rates it as Leans Repub­li­can). And the DCCC has given no other indi­ca­tion that it’s ready to give up on the race, either.

I’ll keep looking.

UPDATE II Appar­ently, it’s not WI-07 the DCCC and oth­ers run­ning ads are aban­don­ing, it’s WI-08.  Which frankly, makes more sense to me at this point in the cam­paign.  At least, that’s what Moe Lane of Red­State was able to uncover.

The Ser­vice Employ­ees Inter­na­tional Union has can­celed a pre­vi­ously sched­uled tele­vi­sion ad buy in sup­port of busi­ness­man Jamie Wall’s (D) chal­lenge of Rep. Reid Ribble ®.

Roll Call has learned from a source mon­i­tor­ing Wis­con­sin adver­tis­ing mar­kets that the union will no longer fol­low through with its approx­i­mately $130,000 reser­va­tion in the Green Bay media mar­ket, which cov­ers the 8th dis­trict. But the same source noted that the Demo­c­ra­tic Con­gres­sional Cam­paign Com­mit­tee is still sched­uled to go on tele­vi­sion in Green Bay on Oct. 9.

The House Major­ity PAC, a Demo­c­ra­tic super PAC, had pre­vi­ously can­celed a $130,000 tele­vi­sion ad-buy reser­va­tion in mid-September.

A buy by Octo­ber 9th is prac­ti­cally a promise to pull the money later.  Time will tell if they do.

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Hey, Remember “Healthy Wisconsin?”

Pat Kre­it­low sure as hell hoped you didn’t.

Too bad the National Repub­li­can Cam­paign Com­mit­tee does, and they are going full bar­rel on it in their first attack ad against the for­mer TV anchor­man turned state  Sen­a­tor turned…um, what exactly is Kreitlow’s job currently?

(I never fully under­stood why a fresh­man state sen­a­tor in a swing dis­trict would will­ingly want to be the QB of a total social­ized med­i­cine bill, but Kreitlow’s ego was more than will­ing to oblige.)

ANNOUNCER: Before Wash­ing­ton gave us ObamaCare,

State Sen­a­tor Pat Kre­it­low tried to give us a gov­ern­ment takeover of health­care here in Wisconsin.

With a $15 bil­lion pay­roll tax,

A 10 per­cent tax on employers,

4 per­cent tax on workers.

It would have been the largest tax increase in Wis­con­sin history.

Gov­ern­ment takeover of health­care, paid for by higher taxes.

Pat Kre­it­low, he’d fit right in, in Washington.

DISCLAIMER: The National Repub­li­can Con­gres­sional Com­mit­tee is respon­si­ble for the con­tent of this advertising.

Here’s the video:


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Biden’s Two Gaffes in Eau Claire

First of all, good to see that it wasn’t hard to get 3,000 peo­ple on a col­lege cam­pus.  You start to won­der if my alma mater is inca­pable of pulling it off, then you remem­ber it’s a col­lege cam­pus and you move on.

So of course, Vice Pres­i­dent Biden was in Eau Claire today, and accord­ing to the WisPolitics.com report, nat­u­rally made some gaffes.

Here’s where they were:

Biden was pre­ceded by Sen. Kath­leen Vine­out, D-Alma, and 7th CD can­di­date Pat Kre­it­low. Biden told those in atten­dance to vote for Kre­it­low, though he mis­pro­nounced his name.

My guess is it was “Kreet-Low?”  Yeah, I know those Ger­man names are so tough, aren’t they?  Espe­cially for the crowd in the East Coast…I should know.

Way to be prepped there Mr. Vice President.

Sec­ondly, the cam­pus of UW-Eau Claire and the over­whelm­ing major­ity of Eau Claire County are in the 3rd Con­gres­sional Dis­trict, not the 7th where Kre­it­low is run­ning.  Has been like that for decades.

Hardly any­one in the gym­na­sium today will end up being eli­gi­ble to vote for Kreitlow.

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DPW’s Still Missing Obey">DPW’s Still Missing Obey

So much so, that it’s the focus of a two-page arti­cle at Politico. Most of it insane quotes from DPW’s res­i­dent punk Mike Tate — the Chair-Boy Blun­der — one begins to won­der how he main­tains all the hatred and venom with all that’s on his plate.

There are 87 fresh­men in the new class of House Repub­li­cans, but Democ­rats are sin­gling out one for par­tic­u­larly rough treat­ment: Rep. Sean Duffy.

Both in Wash­ing­ton and in his home state of Wis­con­sin, Democ­rats have drawn a bead on the reality-TV-star-turned-Ashland-County-district-attorney-turned-congressman, deter­mined to por­tray him as a super­fi­cial ide­o­logue who’s not ready for prime­time. The anti-Duffy effort has picked up in recent weeks as his foes have sought to link him to the con­tro­versy sur­round­ing GOP Gov. Scott Walker’s effort to limit the col­lec­tive bar­gain­ing rights of pub­lic employees.

Democ­rats openly acknowl­edge that their attacks are, in no small part, aimed at knock­ing the ambi­tious 39-year-old con­ser­v­a­tive down a peg and say they want to make sure his north­west Wis­con­sin House seat doesn’t turn into a launch­ing pad for a future statewide bid. Demo­c­ra­tic oper­a­tives are pri­vately pledg­ing to wage an aggres­sive 2012 cam­paign for his seat and have started float­ing the names of sev­eral poten­tial challengers.

It’s hard to be a ris­ing star if you’re a one-term con­gress­man, which I think he’s going to be,” said Wis­con­sin Demo­c­ra­tic Party Chair­man Mike Tate, who has helped direct the anti-Duffy offensive.

That’s sure some offen­sive. Makes you think they have a guy or two ready in the wings to take Duffy on in 2012. But actu­al­ity, they’re prob­a­bly going through what a lot of Repub­li­cans — myself included — had with Steve Kagen. The idea the man who replaced “A Leg­end” or “Good Man” isn’t wor­thy of fill­ing his shoes.

And let’s be hon­est with our­selves, Steve Kagen was a chump com­pared to Mark Green.  As for any sim­i­lar com­par­i­son of Duffy to Kagen, I think we can stop there.  Obey was a can­tan­ker­ous, old man who never seemed to like anyone.

I for one will never under­stand how state Democ­rats held that in a place of high honor.

Frankly, in my opin­ion, what really irks Tate and Graeme down in Madi­son about Duffy is this sim­ple fact: Duffy forced Obey’s retirement.

Duffy pushes their but­tons; he’s a lit­tle bit of a threat to them,” said Charles Franklin, a Uni­ver­sity of Wis­con­sin polit­i­cal sci­en­tist. “Democ­rats are try­ing to turn him into a one-term con­gress­man before he’s able to become more entrenched.”

One rea­son for the spe­cial atten­tion is that Democ­rats are seek­ing to reverse what party offi­cials see as a dis­turb­ing trend: Repub­li­cans gain­ing trac­tion in north­west Wis­con­sin — tra­di­tion­ally a Democratic-leaning area, where for­mer Demo­c­ra­tic Rep. Dave Obey, the pow­er­ful long­time Appro­pri­a­tions Com­mit­tee chair­man, served for 41 years. On Elec­tion Day, in addi­tion to Duffy’s vic­tory, Repub­li­cans won three state Assem­bly seats and two state Sen­ate seats in the area.

They are just aston­ished that a Repub­li­can could be as strong as Sean Duffy is in north­ern Wis­con­sin,” said Wis­con­sin Repub­li­can Party Exec­u­tive Direc­tor Mark Jef­fer­son. “They just feel like if they don’t do some­thing, he’s going to take a toehold.”

They believe it’s a seat they should hold,” noted Dar­rin Schmitz, a Madison-based GOP con­sul­tant who advises Duffy. “He won a seat Democ­rats held for many years, and it’s a seat Democ­rats think they should occupy.”

There’s also a per­sonal dimen­sion to the Duffy drama. Democ­rats con­cede that they feel a deep ani­mus toward him born of the notion that the for­mer reality-TV star is sim­ply unfit to suc­ceed a con­gres­sional titan like Obey.

He is a bit of a Hol­ly­wood guy who does not fit in that part of the state,” said Tate. “This is a guy who appeared on ‘The Real World.’ He met his wife on ‘Real World/Road Rules.’”

He’s also the guy who made a deal with said wife that if she didn’t get the co-hosting job of “The View” (it went to Elis­a­beth Has­sel­back, though Rachel was the other final­ist) they would move to Wis­con­sin and live their life there, raise their kids there, and be happy there.

Last I checked, there’s noth­ing “Hol­ly­wood” about that.

The polit­i­cal real­ity about WI-07 now, and Democ­rats know this as much as any­one else, is that Con­gres­sional redis­trict­ing will make it more Republican-leaning.  DPW and Tate are try­ing to poi­son the well, which is fine and expected.  The prob­lem with such a strat­egy is Duffy is such a like­able, charis­matic guy, that the Demo­c­rat who comes out of that pri­mary (And there will be a pri­mary this time) will be a rav­ing car­i­ca­ture of rage.

I hear Nick Mil­roy might be will­ing to fill that role to a “T.”

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