No doubt the source for this info will be questioned — it’s from the national blog of the College Republicans — but the polling (Gallop, AP, others) seems to be right one.
The vaunted “Youth Vote” is being to get antsy with Obama.
Despite the overwhelming 68% support that voters in the 18–29 age demographic gave President Obama in last year’s elections, many younger voters are beginning to feel a sense of buyer’s remorse and, more than ever, are beginning to doubt the President’s agenda and Democratic leadership.Below are some key takeaways from some national polls taken within the past week.
According to a recent analysis by Gallup, “Approval of Obama is down among all major age groups over the past month, but the drop has been particularly steep—11 points—among adults aged 18–29”.
An even more recent Zogby International poll finds a much steeper drop among young people. According to Zogby, Obama’s approval rating among the 18–29 demographic has dropped from 59% to 41% in just one month—a stunning 18 point drop. Although Obama’s approval rating declined among all age groups over this period, the drop was by far the steepest among young voters, aged 18–29.
The drop in support among young people for liberal policies goes far beyond a simple judgement of President Obama. Polling over the last week shows surprising, but very encouraging data.
An Economist/YouGov poll taken over the last week includes stunning results for the 18–29 demographic:
• By a 52–48% margin, young people say that Obama says what he thinks people want to hear rather than what he actually believes.
• By a 56–44% margin, young voters say that big government is a bigger threat than big business.
• 49% of young voters say the country is “on the wrong track”. Just 29% say the country is headed in the right direction.
• 35% of voters aged 18–29 identify themselves as Democrats, while 30% identify as Republicans. This is a much closer margin than polls had found just a short time ago.
• Just 15% of young people approve of the job the Democratic Congress is doing. 46% disapprove.
• 83% of young voters say the budget deficit is a big concern for them. This is nearly as high as the number of young people who say the economy is a major concern, indicating that young people see a strong correlation between the two.
• Just 43% of young voters approve of Obama’s handling of the economy.
Why is this happening?
This could be a reason.
The proportion of people ages 16 to 24 who were employed in July was 51.4 percent, the lowest July rate since records began in 1948 and 4.6 percentage points lower than in July 2008.
The traditional summertime peak for youth employment saw 19.3 million workers in that age group on the job nationally, according to the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics’ annual report, released Thursday. The proportion of young people actively seeking work surges between April and July each year as people look for summer jobs or their first jobs after graduation.
“Every day we constantly have people in that age group asking for applications, and summer demand is always up,” said Cynthia Sheridan, owner of a frozen custard shop at Crown Center.
Youth job searches this year swelled the ranks of the unemployed — those actively seeking but not getting jobs — by 1.1 million in the second quarter.
The Labor Department said 4.4 million youths were unemployed in July 2009, or about 1 million more than in July 2008, putting the youth jobless rate at 18.5 percent, about double the overall national percentage.
The blog “techPresident,” an off-shoot of the liberal-leaning Personal Democracy Forum commented recently on how much of an unmitigated disaster the DNC’s “Organizing for America” is. OFA pretty much IS the 13 million name list the Obama campaign assembled in 2008. Then it was able to stir up nearly 2/3 of all of its online donations through the list.
Now, it can’t get them to do anything (and it’s not just the budget it’s under). What a difference a year makes.